Handicapping With Dosage Here's an example of how the first race at Churchill Downs on June 25, 1997 may have been handicapped using this method. This was a 5½ furlong race for 2yo fillies, and most of the field were previously unraced. The entrants in alphabetical order were:
A 5½ furlong sprint should require some Brilliant speed. The one entrant which has the greatest Brilliant score is Oye Como Va. One should also look for high DI and high CD figures for sprints. Again - Oye Como Va ranks the highest. She would have been the most likely pick if using dosage as the sole criteria. Most people using this method would employ other selection tools in conjunction with dosage, but a field of unraced 2yo fillies may not offer too many handicapping clues. The result of the race was that Oye Como Va won, paying $121.60 on a $2 win ticket. Another example - The 2:20 at Huntingdon (England) on October 21, 1997. This was a 3¼ mile hurdle, so stamina would be a benefit. The field in alphabetical order:
The one entrant here which possesses the greatest stock of stamina is Spring Marathon. Brindley House is also quite good, and San Giorgio also earns a rather low CD based upon the lack of any serious speed points. The lowest DI score also goes to Spring Marathon. He would be the logical pick in this event if using dosage as the sole criteria. The result was that despite being highweighted at 12 stone, Spring Marathon won at odds of 6-to-1 by eventually overcoming San Giorgio at the finish. |